Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 19?
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
4%
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$46 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$138 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Wol.
1%
15°C
$120 Wol.
8%
16°C
$17 Wol.
13%
17°C
$10 Wol.
13%
18°C
$0 Wol.
31%
19°C
$10 Wol.
18%
20°C
$0 Wol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$360Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$360Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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