Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$90,268 Wol.
$90,268 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$90,268 Wol.
$90,268 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$5,054 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,253 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$7,179 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$17,068 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$14,933 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$11,595 Wol.
45%
28°C
$6,382 Wol.
44%
29°C
$8,248 Wol.
4%
30°C
$8,206 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5,073 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$90,268Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$90,268Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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