Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service and UK Met Office, positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16. Stable high-pressure systems typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions, combined with sunny skies and moderating westerly sea breezes, are expected to keep temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C rather than allowing stronger warming or cooling. Current observations and short-range model runs show limited variability, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C over adjacent bins. Final resolution will depend on official station readings at peak afternoon heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 72%
32°C 24%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
24%
33°C
72%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
32°C 24%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$915 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$987 Wol.
1%
31°C
$463 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,596 Wol.
24%
33°C
$2,316 Wol.
72%
34°C
$947 Wol.
6%
35°C
$528 Wol.
1%
36°C
$516 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$502 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$456 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service and UK Met Office, positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16. Stable high-pressure systems typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions, combined with sunny skies and moderating westerly sea breezes, are expected to keep temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C rather than allowing stronger warming or cooling. Current observations and short-range model runs show limited variability, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C over adjacent bins. Final resolution will depend on official station readings at peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,667Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service and UK Met Office, positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16. Stable high-pressure systems typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions, combined with sunny skies and moderating westerly sea breezes, are expected to keep temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C rather than allowing stronger warming or cooling. Current observations and short-range model runs show limited variability, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C over adjacent bins. Final resolution will depend on official station readings at peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,667Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service and UK Met Office, positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16. Stable high-pressure systems typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions, combined with sunny skies and moderating westerly sea breezes, are expected to keep temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C rather than allowing stronger warming or cooling. Current observations and short-range model runs show limited variability, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C over adjacent bins. Final resolution will depend on official station readings at peak afternoon heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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