Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
27°C or higher 46.5%
26°C 34.2%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
$40,208 Wol.
$40,208 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
46%
27°C or higher 46.5%
26°C 34.2%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
$40,208 Wol.
$40,208 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$6,069 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,768 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$3,084 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,435 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,318 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,697 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,240 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$3,171 Wol.
5%
25°C
$3,045 Wol.
15%
26°C
$2,938 Wol.
34%
27°C or higher
$5,551 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,208Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$40,208Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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