Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for sunny skies and a daytime high of 31 °C in Toronto on May 18, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely bunched 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C+ outcomes. Clear conditions under a building high-pressure ridge favor strong solar heating, while light southerly flow advects milder air from the Great Lakes region. Minor differences among leading probabilities hinge on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud build-up, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance from the Global Deterministic Prediction System. Historical May climatology shows Toronto highs averaging near 18 °C, so this warm anomaly reflects the current synoptic setup; traders watch for updated Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning that could shift the implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 18?
30°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 19%
$15,333 Wol.
$15,333 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
22%
30°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 19%
$15,333 Wol.
$15,333 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZEnvironment Canada’s latest forecast calls for sunny skies and a daytime high of 31 °C in Toronto on May 18, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely bunched 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C+ outcomes. Clear conditions under a building high-pressure ridge favor strong solar heating, while light southerly flow advects milder air from the Great Lakes region. Minor differences among leading probabilities hinge on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud build-up, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance from the Global Deterministic Prediction System. Historical May climatology shows Toronto highs averaging near 18 °C, so this warm anomaly reflects the current synoptic setup; traders watch for updated Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning that could shift the implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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