Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, 2026, under light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that supports modest daytime warming with partial cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 28°C reflect typical spring transition patterns, and recent observations show a steady warming trend from 26°C on May 13 to 28°C on May 14. Trader consensus reflects the high accuracy of short-range forecasts within 24–48 hours, though minor model spread or unexpected convective activity could still allow a 29°C outcome before official resolution at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,902 Wol.
$53,902 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,902 Wol.
$53,902 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHNumerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, 2026, under light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that supports modest daytime warming with partial cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 28°C reflect typical spring transition patterns, and recent observations show a steady warming trend from 26°C on May 13 to 28°C on May 14. Trader consensus reflects the high accuracy of short-range forecasts within 24–48 hours, though minor model spread or unexpected convective activity could still allow a 29°C outcome before official resolution at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania