Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,903 Wol.
$53,903 Wol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,903 Wol.
$53,903 Wol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$14,202 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$8,024 Wol.
100%
29°C
$3,645 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,506 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,831 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$7,027 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,615 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,903Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,903Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania