Dan Koh leads trader consensus in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District at 74.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised by March 2026 compared with Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000—and name recognition from his prior House bid. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field where Koh’s resources and establishment ties outweigh Nguyen’s late-May internal poll lead of 28% to 18%. Other candidates remain below 6% in market pricing due to lower visibility and funding. Primary voters’ high undecided share in earlier surveys leaves room for shifts before September balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDan Koh 75%
Tram Nguyen 25.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.6%
Rachel Creemers 2.9%
$40,039 Wol.
$40,039 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
Dan Koh
75%
Tram Nguyen
25%
Kevin Larivee
6%
Rachel Creemers
3%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
2%
John Beccia
2%
Seth Moulton
25%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
Dan Koh 75%
Tram Nguyen 25.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.6%
Rachel Creemers 2.9%
$40,039 Wol.
$40,039 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
Dan Koh
$5,227 Wol.
75%
Tram Nguyen
$5,477 Wol.
25%
Kevin Larivee
$1,602 Wol.
6%
Rachel Creemers
$2,271 Wol.
3%
Mariah Lancaster
$1,958 Wol.
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
$1,938 Wol.
2%
John Beccia
$1,830 Wol.
2%
Seth Moulton
$2,055 Wol.
25%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
$2,654 Wol.
1%
Rick Jakious
$3,541 Wol.
1%
Dominick Pangallo
$6,253 Wol.
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
$5,232 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads trader consensus in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District at 74.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised by March 2026 compared with Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000—and name recognition from his prior House bid. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field where Koh’s resources and establishment ties outweigh Nguyen’s late-May internal poll lead of 28% to 18%. Other candidates remain below 6% in market pricing due to lower visibility and funding. Primary voters’ high undecided share in earlier surveys leaves room for shifts before September balloting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,039Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads trader consensus in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District at 74.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised by March 2026 compared with Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000—and name recognition from his prior House bid. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field where Koh’s resources and establishment ties outweigh Nguyen’s late-May internal poll lead of 28% to 18%. Other candidates remain below 6% in market pricing due to lower visibility and funding. Primary voters’ high undecided share in earlier surveys leaves room for shifts before September balloting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$40,039Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh leads trader consensus in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District at 74.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised by March 2026 compared with Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000—and name recognition from his prior House bid. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field where Koh’s resources and establishment ties outweigh Nguyen’s late-May internal poll lead of 28% to 18%. Other candidates remain below 6% in market pricing due to lower visibility and funding. Primary voters’ high undecided share in earlier surveys leaves room for shifts before September balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania