The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 Vol.
$42,336 Vol.
16 mai 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 Vol.
$42,336 Vol.
16 mai 2026
8°C or below
$1,863 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,202 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,186 Vol.
No
12°C
$9,705 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$6,997 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,323 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,399 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,835 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,381 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$3,057 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$42,336Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,336Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions