Recent forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 between 18–19 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable high-level cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Numerical weather prediction models show slight disagreements on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates, creating the tight spread between the leading 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. These probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and ensemble spread rather than any single deterministic run. Updated model cycles and surface observations throughout the day will continue to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 17 de maio?
19°C 44%
18°C 41%
20°C 13%
21°C 4.5%
$35,330 Vol.
$35,330 Vol.
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
41%
19°C
44%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 41%
20°C 13%
21°C 4.5%
$35,330 Vol.
$35,330 Vol.
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
41%
19°C
44%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 between 18–19 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable high-level cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Numerical weather prediction models show slight disagreements on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates, creating the tight spread between the leading 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. These probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and ensemble spread rather than any single deterministic run. Updated model cycles and surface observations throughout the day will continue to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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