Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires near 14–15°C on May 17, driven by cool, stable autumn air masses and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 16–19°C but frequently dip lower amid strengthening southerly flows and reduced solar insolation. Updated model runs show minimal warming potential through peak afternoon hours, supporting the market-implied odds of 60% for 14°C and 36% for 15°C while keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Traders are closely watching final observational data and any late-day shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 17 de maio?
14°C 73%
15°C 28%
16°C 2.3%
17°C <1%
$25,327 Vol.
$25,327 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
73%
15°C
28%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 73%
15°C 28%
16°C 2.3%
17°C <1%
$25,327 Vol.
$25,327 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
73%
15°C
28%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires near 14–15°C on May 17, driven by cool, stable autumn air masses and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 16–19°C but frequently dip lower amid strengthening southerly flows and reduced solar insolation. Updated model runs show minimal warming potential through peak afternoon hours, supporting the market-implied odds of 60% for 14°C and 36% for 15°C while keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Traders are closely watching final observational data and any late-day shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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