Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecast runs and global ensemble guidance point to a southerly flow advecting warmer air across the peninsula, placing Busan’s May 17 daytime maximum near 29–32 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the East Sea, introduces the main uncertainty by moderating peak values and creating tight clustering around the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. These conditions sit above mid-May climatological averages of 20–24 °C, reflecting persistent spring warmth. Official resolution will hinge on the highest reading at the Gimhae International Airport station, with final model updates expected before sunset on May 16.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 17 de maio?
31°C 33.6%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
29°C 13%
$25,429 Vol.
$25,429 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C or higher
11%
31°C 33.6%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
29°C 13%
$25,429 Vol.
$25,429 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecast runs and global ensemble guidance point to a southerly flow advecting warmer air across the peninsula, placing Busan’s May 17 daytime maximum near 29–32 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the East Sea, introduces the main uncertainty by moderating peak values and creating tight clustering around the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. These conditions sit above mid-May climatological averages of 20–24 °C, reflecting persistent spring warmth. Official resolution will hinge on the highest reading at the Gimhae International Airport station, with final model updates expected before sunset on May 16.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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