Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance centers the May 18 daytime high in Busan near 28–30 °C beneath a building high-pressure ridge and strengthening southerly flow that promotes modest warm advection. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and the city’s maritime exposure introduce narrow uncertainty in peak readings, keeping the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest model consensus. Minor differences in ridge timing or low-level moisture advection could shift the observed maximum by a single degree, while historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs clustered between 19 °C and 24 °C, underscoring how today’s warmer synoptic pattern elevates probabilities for the upper end of the forecast envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 18 de maio?
30°C 32%
29°C 29%
31°C 21%
28°C 14%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
32%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
30°C 32%
29°C 29%
31°C 21%
28°C 14%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
32%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKCurrent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance centers the May 18 daytime high in Busan near 28–30 °C beneath a building high-pressure ridge and strengthening southerly flow that promotes modest warm advection. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and the city’s maritime exposure introduce narrow uncertainty in peak readings, keeping the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest model consensus. Minor differences in ridge timing or low-level moisture advection could shift the observed maximum by a single degree, while historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs clustered between 19 °C and 24 °C, underscoring how today’s warmer synoptic pattern elevates probabilities for the upper end of the forecast envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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