Recent model consensus from the South African Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on May 19 most likely settling near 21–22°C, which explains the narrow lead for those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. A building high-pressure ridge is suppressing cloud formation and promoting modest daytime warming, yet cool southeasterly winds off the Benguela Current continue to moderate peaks. Historical May maxima average 19–20°C, so the current atmospheric setup introduces a slight upward tilt, while small differences in forecast timing of any frontal passage could easily shift the final reading by one degree and alter trader positioning before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 19 de maio?
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25°C ou mais
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent model consensus from the South African Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on May 19 most likely settling near 21–22°C, which explains the narrow lead for those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. A building high-pressure ridge is suppressing cloud formation and promoting modest daytime warming, yet cool southeasterly winds off the Benguela Current continue to moderate peaks. Historical May maxima average 19–20°C, so the current atmospheric setup introduces a slight upward tilt, while small differences in forecast timing of any frontal passage could easily shift the final reading by one degree and alter trader positioning before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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