Recent numerical weather prediction models from Chinese meteorological agencies have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market’s 94.2% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where a strengthening high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper end of seasonal norms around 29–32°C. Historical May maxima in the region average near 28°C, but current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover support the higher end of guidance. Traders assign only marginal odds to 32°C or above, reflecting realistic scenarios such as earlier afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the ridge that could cap readings at 30°C. Official surface observations will resolve the market after sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
31°C 92.0%
32°C 4.6%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$59,193 Vol.
$59,193 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
92%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 92.0%
32°C 4.6%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$59,193 Vol.
$59,193 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,962 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,848 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,204 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,444 Vol.
92%
32°C
$6,518 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$6,296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Chinese meteorological agencies have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market’s 94.2% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where a strengthening high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper end of seasonal norms around 29–32°C. Historical May maxima in the region average near 28°C, but current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover support the higher end of guidance. Traders assign only marginal odds to 32°C or above, reflecting realistic scenarios such as earlier afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the ridge that could cap readings at 30°C. Official surface observations will resolve the market after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$59,193Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Chinese meteorological agencies have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market’s 94.2% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where a strengthening high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper end of seasonal norms around 29–32°C. Historical May maxima in the region average near 28°C, but current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover support the higher end of guidance. Traders assign only marginal odds to 32°C or above, reflecting realistic scenarios such as earlier afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the ridge that could cap readings at 30°C. Official surface observations will resolve the market after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,193Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction models from Chinese meteorological agencies have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market’s 94.2% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where a strengthening high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper end of seasonal norms around 29–32°C. Historical May maxima in the region average near 28°C, but current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover support the higher end of guidance. Traders assign only marginal odds to 32°C or above, reflecting realistic scenarios such as earlier afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the ridge that could cap readings at 30°C. Official surface observations will resolve the market after sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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