Persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across the Sichuan Basin on May 17 are suppressing solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, anchoring the official maximum temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport near 23 °C according to China Meteorological Administration guidance. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement on southerly flow and minimal afternoon clearing, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical highs reach 24–26 °C but moisture routinely caps peaks. Traders price 23 °C at 99.6 % implied probability because verified station observations through midday confirm this trajectory. Only an unexpected late-day wind shift or rapid dissipation of the stratiform layer could allow readings to climb toward 26 °C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood. Final model updates and real-time surface data remain the key variables to monitor before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 17 de maio?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,465 Vol.
$46,465 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,465 Vol.
$46,465 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKPersistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across the Sichuan Basin on May 17 are suppressing solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, anchoring the official maximum temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport near 23 °C according to China Meteorological Administration guidance. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement on southerly flow and minimal afternoon clearing, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical highs reach 24–26 °C but moisture routinely caps peaks. Traders price 23 °C at 99.6 % implied probability because verified station observations through midday confirm this trajectory. Only an unexpected late-day wind shift or rapid dissipation of the stratiform layer could allow readings to climb toward 26 °C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood. Final model updates and real-time surface data remain the key variables to monitor before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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