Current meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 17 de maio?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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