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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

25°C 99.8%

26°C <1%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$262,898 Vol.

25°C 99.8%

26°C <1%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$262,898 Vol.

19°C or below

$3,029 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$2,037 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$2,261 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$1,657 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$6,693 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$38,077 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$103,041 Vol.

100%

26°C

$52,906 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$24,323 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$12,511 Vol.

<1%

29°C or higher

$16,399 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$262,898
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$262,898
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 100%, followed by "19°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" has generated $262.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" is "25°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.