Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
$192 Vol.
4%
27°C
$382 Vol.
7%
28°C
$89 Vol.
23%
29°C
$281 Vol.
37%
30°C
$559 Vol.
24%
31°C
$503 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,030 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$4,984Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,984Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions