India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature near or below 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges Plain. This official outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for the 41°C-or-below outcome. Historical climatology places typical May highs in the 40–43°C range, yet current model guidance shows minimal spread and little potential for rapid intensification. Traders assign negligible probability to higher thresholds because any deviation would require unexpected drier air and stronger solar insolation not supported by the latest runs. Final resolution depends on the official reading at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with the next IMD update offering the primary opportunity for any shift before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 17 de maio?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$43,346 Vol.
$43,346 Vol.
17 mai 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$43,346 Vol.
$43,346 Vol.
17 mai 2026
41°C or below
$8,867 Vol.
100%
42°C
$3,153 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$4,123 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$5,365 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,133 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,621 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$6,520 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$6,610 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature near or below 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges Plain. This official outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for the 41°C-or-below outcome. Historical climatology places typical May highs in the 40–43°C range, yet current model guidance shows minimal spread and little potential for rapid intensification. Traders assign negligible probability to higher thresholds because any deviation would require unexpected drier air and stronger solar insolation not supported by the latest runs. Final resolution depends on the official reading at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with the next IMD update offering the primary opportunity for any shift before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$43,346Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature near or below 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges Plain. This official outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for the 41°C-or-below outcome. Historical climatology places typical May highs in the 40–43°C range, yet current model guidance shows minimal spread and little potential for rapid intensification. Traders assign negligible probability to higher thresholds because any deviation would require unexpected drier air and stronger solar insolation not supported by the latest runs. Final resolution depends on the official reading at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with the next IMD update offering the primary opportunity for any shift before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,346Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature near or below 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges Plain. This official outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for the 41°C-or-below outcome. Historical climatology places typical May highs in the 40–43°C range, yet current model guidance shows minimal spread and little potential for rapid intensification. Traders assign negligible probability to higher thresholds because any deviation would require unexpected drier air and stronger solar insolation not supported by the latest runs. Final resolution depends on the official reading at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with the next IMD update offering the primary opportunity for any shift before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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