Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, delivering mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that points to a Madrid maximum near 22°C on May 17. These stable atmospheric conditions limit cloud cover and suppress stronger warming, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and secondary support for 23°C as the next most probable outcome. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport places average highs around 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance sits near normal. Traders are closely monitoring afternoon observations from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency for any final 1–2°C adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 17 de maio?
22°C 87%
23°C 15%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,718 Vol.
$42,718 Vol.
17 mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
87%
23°C
15%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 87%
23°C 15%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,718 Vol.
$42,718 Vol.
17 mai 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,125 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,492 Vol.
87%
23°C
$6,892 Vol.
15%
24°C
$4,131 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,793 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, delivering mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that points to a Madrid maximum near 22°C on May 17. These stable atmospheric conditions limit cloud cover and suppress stronger warming, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and secondary support for 23°C as the next most probable outcome. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport places average highs around 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance sits near normal. Traders are closely monitoring afternoon observations from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency for any final 1–2°C adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$42,718Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, delivering mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that points to a Madrid maximum near 22°C on May 17. These stable atmospheric conditions limit cloud cover and suppress stronger warming, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and secondary support for 23°C as the next most probable outcome. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport places average highs around 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance sits near normal. Traders are closely monitoring afternoon observations from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency for any final 1–2°C adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,718Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, delivering mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that points to a Madrid maximum near 22°C on May 17. These stable atmospheric conditions limit cloud cover and suppress stronger warming, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and secondary support for 23°C as the next most probable outcome. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport places average highs around 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance sits near normal. Traders are closely monitoring afternoon observations from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency for any final 1–2°C adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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