Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 18 de maio?
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
28%
24°C
36%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
18°C or below
$240 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
1%
21°C
$79 Vol.
4%
22°C
$120 Vol.
10%
23°C
$304 Vol.
28%
24°C
$76 Vol.
36%
25°C
$358 Vol.
18%
26°C
$87 Vol.
6%
27°C
$63 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$203 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,309Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,309Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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