National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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