National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, positioning the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the clear market leaders. This aligns with May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 85 °F amid a dominant subtropical ridge that limits stronger onshore flow and allows modest daytime heating. Sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection introduce the primary uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the final reading at Miami International Airport, the resolution source.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 17 de maio?
84-85°F 49%
30-31°C 31%
82-83°F 21.9%
88-89°F 3.2%
$67,266 Vol.
$67,266 Vol.
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
49%
30-31°C
31%
88-89°F
3%
32-32,8°C
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
84-85°F 49%
30-31°C 31%
82-83°F 21.9%
88-89°F 3.2%
$67,266 Vol.
$67,266 Vol.
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
49%
30-31°C
31%
88-89°F
3%
32-32,8°C
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, positioning the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the clear market leaders. This aligns with May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 85 °F amid a dominant subtropical ridge that limits stronger onshore flow and allows modest daytime heating. Sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection introduce the primary uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the final reading at Miami International Airport, the resolution source.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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