Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de maio?
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
NOVO
$12,229 Vol.
NOVO
$12,229 Vol.
18 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
19%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
NOVO
$12,229 Vol.
NOVO
$12,229 Vol.
18 mai 2026
16°C or below
$713 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$918 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,297 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,219 Vol.
19%
20°C
$1,404 Vol.
35%
21°C
$1,116 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,470 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,235 Vol.
3%
24°C
$878 Vol.
1%
25°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$533 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$12,229Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,229Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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