Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 17 de maio?
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
29%
22°C
36%
23°C
19%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
15°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$543 Vol.
1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
4%
20°C
$291 Vol.
10%
21°C
$263 Vol.
29%
22°C
$274 Vol.
36%
23°C
$216 Vol.
19%
24°C
$440 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,016Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,016Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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