Current official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and no precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with regional model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-May, where average highs hover near 17–19°C climatologically. The market-implied probability of 100% for 20°C reflects traders' assessment that ensemble predictions and observational data leave little room for deviation beyond minor measurement uncertainty at official stations. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of warmer air masses or revised model output in the final hours, though such shifts remain improbable given the steady steering pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,362 Vol.
$57,362 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,362 Vol.
$57,362 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C
$9,296 Vol.
100%
21°C
$4,856 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,309 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$8,418 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and no precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with regional model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-May, where average highs hover near 17–19°C climatologically. The market-implied probability of 100% for 20°C reflects traders' assessment that ensemble predictions and observational data leave little room for deviation beyond minor measurement uncertainty at official stations. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of warmer air masses or revised model output in the final hours, though such shifts remain improbable given the steady steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$57,362Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and no precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with regional model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-May, where average highs hover near 17–19°C climatologically. The market-implied probability of 100% for 20°C reflects traders' assessment that ensemble predictions and observational data leave little room for deviation beyond minor measurement uncertainty at official stations. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of warmer air masses or revised model output in the final hours, though such shifts remain improbable given the steady steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,362Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Current official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and no precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with regional model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-May, where average highs hover near 17–19°C climatologically. The market-implied probability of 100% for 20°C reflects traders' assessment that ensemble predictions and observational data leave little room for deviation beyond minor measurement uncertainty at official stations. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of warmer air masses or revised model output in the final hours, though such shifts remain improbable given the steady steering pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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