Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and model consensus indicate a cool northerly flow has kept maximum temperatures in Munich at 13°C on May 16, locking the market at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This reflects stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with surface readings at the Munich Airport station and alignment with the latest ECMWF guidance showing no significant warm-air advection. While historical mid-May averages reach 17–19°C, the current setup features persistent cloud cover and modest winds that suppress warming. Only an unexpected late-day temperature spike exceeding the official resolution threshold could shift the result, though current data make this highly improbable before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,205 Vol.
$82,205 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,205 Vol.
$82,205 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and model consensus indicate a cool northerly flow has kept maximum temperatures in Munich at 13°C on May 16, locking the market at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This reflects stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with surface readings at the Munich Airport station and alignment with the latest ECMWF guidance showing no significant warm-air advection. While historical mid-May averages reach 17–19°C, the current setup features persistent cloud cover and modest winds that suppress warming. Only an unexpected late-day temperature spike exceeding the official resolution threshold could shift the result, though current data make this highly improbable before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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