Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?
30-31°C 34%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 9.8%
NOVO
$24,050 Vol.
NOVO
$24,050 Vol.
17 mai 2026
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
34%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
30-31°C 34%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 9.8%
NOVO
$24,050 Vol.
NOVO
$24,050 Vol.
17 mai 2026
79°F ou menos
$6,908 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,540 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,535 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$2,251 Vol.
14%
30-31°C
$1,702 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$1,459 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$1,078 Vol.
10%
92-93°F
$564 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$696 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$906 Vol.
<1%
98°F ou mais
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$24,050Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,050Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGACurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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