National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?
88-89°F 42%
30-31°C 25%
90-91°F 18.0%
84-85°F 14%
$47,598 Vol.
$47,598 Vol.
17 mai 2026
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
25%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
88-89°F 42%
30-31°C 25%
90-91°F 18.0%
84-85°F 14%
$47,598 Vol.
$47,598 Vol.
17 mai 2026
79°F ou menos
$9,189 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,401 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,383 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$4,901 Vol.
14%
30-31°C
$5,293 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$3,074 Vol.
42%
90-91°F
$3,567 Vol.
18%
92-93°F
$2,618 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,440 Vol.
<1%
98°F ou mais
$2,751 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,598Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,598Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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