Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de maio?
13°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 Vol.
$138,332 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
13°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 Vol.
$138,332 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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