Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,879 Vol.
$155,879 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,879 Vol.
$155,879 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C
$29,484 Vol.
100%
17°C
$32,600 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$11,371 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou mais
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$155,879Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,879Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions