Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
16°C 67%
15°C 22%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
$70,346 Vol.
$70,346 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
67%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 67%
15°C 22%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
$70,346 Vol.
$70,346 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$6,056 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,339 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,437 Vol.
22%
16°C
$9,762 Vol.
67%
17°C
$8,581 Vol.
8%
18°C
$7,820 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,262 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$70,346Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,346Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions