Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
16°C 98.0%
17°C 1.2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,446 Vol.
$121,446 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.0%
17°C 1.2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,446 Vol.
$121,446 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,621 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$16,150 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,411 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$19,092 Vol.
98%
17°C
$18,105 Vol.
1%
18°C
$19,245 Vol.
1%
19°C
$15,551 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$121,446Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$121,446Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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