Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de maio?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,996 Vol.
$226,996 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,996 Vol.
$226,996 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions