Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 18 de maio?
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
NOVO
$71,726 Vol.
NOVO
$71,726 Vol.
18 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
77%
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
NOVO
$71,726 Vol.
NOVO
$71,726 Vol.
18 mai 2026
15°C or below
$12,409 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,783 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,468 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,425 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,566 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,089 Vol.
1%
23°C
$6,426 Vol.
3%
24°C
$3,644 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$10,299 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$71,726Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,726Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITraders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions