Latest numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China's National Meteorological Center, show Shanghai's maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 26°C and 28°C. This tight clustering around 27°C arises from a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating under light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average highs hover near 26°C. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat effects could shift the peak by a degree or two, which explains the market's balanced support for both 26°C and 28°C. Fresh model guidance issued overnight will clarify any adjustments before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 18 de maio?
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 23%
25°C 11%
$11,544 Vol.
$11,544 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 23%
25°C 11%
$11,544 Vol.
$11,544 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China's National Meteorological Center, show Shanghai's maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 26°C and 28°C. This tight clustering around 27°C arises from a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating under light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average highs hover near 26°C. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat effects could shift the peak by a degree or two, which explains the market's balanced support for both 26°C and 28°C. Fresh model guidance issued overnight will clarify any adjustments before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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