Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Shanghai on May 19, supporting the leading 46.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, elevating temperatures above the climatological mid-May mean of 24–25°C. Historical records show May maxima typically cluster between 20–28°C, with recent model runs confirming minimal cooling influences ahead of landfall or frontal passages. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture that could cap the high near 26°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 19 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 19 de maio?
27°C or higher 47%
26°C 30%
25°C 9%
24°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
30%
27°C or higher
47%
27°C or higher 47%
26°C 30%
25°C 9%
24°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$157 Vol.
1%
22°C
$71 Vol.
1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
2%
24°C
$63 Vol.
6%
25°C
$92 Vol.
9%
26°C
$75 Vol.
30%
27°C or higher
$196 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Shanghai on May 19, supporting the leading 46.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, elevating temperatures above the climatological mid-May mean of 24–25°C. Historical records show May maxima typically cluster between 20–28°C, with recent model runs confirming minimal cooling influences ahead of landfall or frontal passages. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture that could cap the high near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$738Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Shanghai on May 19, supporting the leading 46.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, elevating temperatures above the climatological mid-May mean of 24–25°C. Historical records show May maxima typically cluster between 20–28°C, with recent model runs confirming minimal cooling influences ahead of landfall or frontal passages. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture that could cap the high near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$738Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Shanghai on May 19, supporting the leading 46.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, elevating temperatures above the climatological mid-May mean of 24–25°C. Historical records show May maxima typically cluster between 20–28°C, with recent model runs confirming minimal cooling influences ahead of landfall or frontal passages. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture that could cap the high near 26°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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