Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,704 Vol.
$74,704 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,704 Vol.
$74,704 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,510 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,780 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,369 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,230 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,971 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,135 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,293 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$74,704Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,704Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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