Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean has driven trader consensus toward a 99.9% implied probability that Tel Aviv records a maximum of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles indicate clear skies with limited sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming well above the 26–28 °C May climatological norm. Recent readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this rapid warm-air advection, reflected in market positioning ahead of final resolution. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak, though only an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or model error could realistically shift the outcome below the 35 °C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,125 Vol.
$68,125 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,125 Vol.
$68,125 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,306 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,971 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,783 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,810 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,090 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,625 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean has driven trader consensus toward a 99.9% implied probability that Tel Aviv records a maximum of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles indicate clear skies with limited sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming well above the 26–28 °C May climatological norm. Recent readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this rapid warm-air advection, reflected in market positioning ahead of final resolution. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak, though only an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or model error could realistically shift the outcome below the 35 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$68,125Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean has driven trader consensus toward a 99.9% implied probability that Tel Aviv records a maximum of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles indicate clear skies with limited sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming well above the 26–28 °C May climatological norm. Recent readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this rapid warm-air advection, reflected in market positioning ahead of final resolution. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak, though only an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or model error could realistically shift the outcome below the 35 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,125Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean has driven trader consensus toward a 99.9% implied probability that Tel Aviv records a maximum of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles indicate clear skies with limited sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming well above the 26–28 °C May climatological norm. Recent readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this rapid warm-air advection, reflected in market positioning ahead of final resolution. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak, though only an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or model error could realistically shift the outcome below the 35 °C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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