Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de maio?
30°C 41%
31°C 31.4%
32°C or higher 17.3%
29°C 13%
NOVO
$12,071 Vol.
NOVO
$12,071 Vol.
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 41%
31°C 31.4%
32°C or higher 17.3%
29°C 13%
NOVO
$12,071 Vol.
NOVO
$12,071 Vol.
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$983 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,193 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,253 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,532 Vol.
13%
30°C
$1,599 Vol.
41%
31°C
$2,117 Vol.
31%
32°C or higher
$912 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$12,071Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,071Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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