Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de maio?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Vol.
$88,867 Vol.
17 mai 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Vol.
$88,867 Vol.
17 mai 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,583 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,728 Vol.
100%
29°C
$11,061 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$88,867Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$88,867Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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