Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as Toronto’s official daily maximum for May 16, reflecting verified observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada’s primary station at Pearson International Airport. Mid-May conditions featured moderate southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, producing peak readings that aligned precisely with this threshold and stayed well below the 22°C level. Climatological normals for the date average 18–20°C, so the recorded value represents a modest positive anomaly without any heat-wave signatures. With the observational dataset now finalized and no reanalysis adjustments anticipated, the market-implied probability remains anchored to these authoritative measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 98.8%
22°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$142,107 Vol.
$142,107 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 98.8%
22°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$142,107 Vol.
$142,107 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as Toronto’s official daily maximum for May 16, reflecting verified observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada’s primary station at Pearson International Airport. Mid-May conditions featured moderate southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, producing peak readings that aligned precisely with this threshold and stayed well below the 22°C level. Climatological normals for the date average 18–20°C, so the recorded value represents a modest positive anomaly without any heat-wave signatures. With the observational dataset now finalized and no reanalysis adjustments anticipated, the market-implied probability remains anchored to these authoritative measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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