Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus around the 13°C outcome. This represents a cool anomaly roughly 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–20°C, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine final resolution, with minor model spread or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Traders are closely monitoring any late-day updates from these agencies before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 17 de maio?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$48,789 Vol.
$48,789 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$48,789 Vol.
$48,789 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus around the 13°C outcome. This represents a cool anomaly roughly 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–20°C, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine final resolution, with minor model spread or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Traders are closely monitoring any late-day updates from these agencies before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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