Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated in the past 24 hours, show consensus for daytime maxima of 12–14°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by northerly advection of cooler polar maritime air under a broad upper-level trough. Limited solar insolation from increased stratiform cloud cover and weak surface pressure gradients further suppress heating, shifting probabilities toward the lower end of typical mid-May climatology near 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with key uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and any brief warm-air intrusions ahead of resolution at the Chopin Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 17 de maio?
12°C 28.1%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
11°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C
28%
13°C
26%
14°C
21%
15°C or higher
10%
12°C 28.1%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
11°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
5°C or below
$660 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,004 Vol.
1%
11°C
$706 Vol.
12%
12°C
$619 Vol.
28%
13°C
$699 Vol.
26%
14°C
$916 Vol.
21%
15°C or higher
$1,690 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated in the past 24 hours, show consensus for daytime maxima of 12–14°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by northerly advection of cooler polar maritime air under a broad upper-level trough. Limited solar insolation from increased stratiform cloud cover and weak surface pressure gradients further suppress heating, shifting probabilities toward the lower end of typical mid-May climatology near 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with key uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and any brief warm-air intrusions ahead of resolution at the Chopin Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,444Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated in the past 24 hours, show consensus for daytime maxima of 12–14°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by northerly advection of cooler polar maritime air under a broad upper-level trough. Limited solar insolation from increased stratiform cloud cover and weak surface pressure gradients further suppress heating, shifting probabilities toward the lower end of typical mid-May climatology near 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with key uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and any brief warm-air intrusions ahead of resolution at the Chopin Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,444Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWARecent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated in the past 24 hours, show consensus for daytime maxima of 12–14°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by northerly advection of cooler polar maritime air under a broad upper-level trough. Limited solar insolation from increased stratiform cloud cover and weak surface pressure gradients further suppress heating, shifting probabilities toward the lower end of typical mid-May climatology near 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with key uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and any brief warm-air intrusions ahead of resolution at the Chopin Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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