Current meteorological forecasts from New Zealand agencies indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. Stable autumn synoptic patterns, including light southerly flows and variable cloud cover, have kept temperatures within the typical mid-May range of 12–15°C, with no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Official guidance highlights limited diurnal warming under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical averages around 14°C at this latitude and season. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could realistically elevate the peak toward 15°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 17 de maio?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
$53,862 Vol.
$53,862 Vol.
17 mai 2026
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
$53,862 Vol.
$53,862 Vol.
17 mai 2026
8°C ou menos
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,801 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,633 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou mais
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from New Zealand agencies indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. Stable autumn synoptic patterns, including light southerly flows and variable cloud cover, have kept temperatures within the typical mid-May range of 12–15°C, with no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Official guidance highlights limited diurnal warming under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical averages around 14°C at this latitude and season. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could realistically elevate the peak toward 15°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,862Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from New Zealand agencies indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. Stable autumn synoptic patterns, including light southerly flows and variable cloud cover, have kept temperatures within the typical mid-May range of 12–15°C, with no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Official guidance highlights limited diurnal warming under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical averages around 14°C at this latitude and season. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could realistically elevate the peak toward 15°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,862Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent meteorological forecasts from New Zealand agencies indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. Stable autumn synoptic patterns, including light southerly flows and variable cloud cover, have kept temperatures within the typical mid-May range of 12–15°C, with no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Official guidance highlights limited diurnal warming under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical averages around 14°C at this latitude and season. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could realistically elevate the peak toward 15°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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