Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 19 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 19 de maio?
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
44%
15°C
37%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
8°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$254 Vol.
1%
11°C
$73 Vol.
1%
12°C
$122 Vol.
3%
13°C
$419 Vol.
14%
14°C
$368 Vol.
44%
15°C
$200 Vol.
37%
16°C
$80 Vol.
8%
17°C
$307 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$219 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,683Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,683Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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