Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de maio?
14°C 52%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.9%
16°C 2.5%
NOVO
$24,104 Vol.
NOVO
$24,104 Vol.
18 mai 2026
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
52%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 52%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.9%
16°C 2.5%
NOVO
$24,104 Vol.
NOVO
$24,104 Vol.
18 mai 2026
8°C ou menos
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,754 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,431 Vol.
10%
14°C
$3,083 Vol.
52%
15°C
$2,222 Vol.
36%
16°C
$4,134 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
18°C ou mais
$960 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$24,104Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,104Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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