Latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum near 25°C in Wuhan on May 18, shaped by light southerly flow under a subtropical ridge with scattered afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 26–28°C, yet small differences in predicted timing of any showers or wind shifts create genuine uncertainty across ensemble runs, keeping probabilities closely split among 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Traders are weighting these scientific variables heavily as resolution nears, with updated model guidance expected to clarify intensity of daytime warming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 18 de maio?
25°C 29%
24°C 22.3%
26°C 18%
23°C 14.3%
$15,842 Vol.
$15,842 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
14%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 29%
24°C 22.3%
26°C 18%
23°C 14.3%
$15,842 Vol.
$15,842 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
14%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum near 25°C in Wuhan on May 18, shaped by light southerly flow under a subtropical ridge with scattered afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 26–28°C, yet small differences in predicted timing of any showers or wind shifts create genuine uncertainty across ensemble runs, keeping probabilities closely split among 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Traders are weighting these scientific variables heavily as resolution nears, with updated model guidance expected to clarify intensity of daytime warming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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