Illinois's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide margins favoring the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open U.S. Senate race. As lieutenant governor since 2019 and the Democratic primary winner in March 2026 with support from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton holds significant name recognition and institutional backing against Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. Forecasts rate the seat Solid Democratic with projected margins near 20 points, aligning with the absence of general-election polling shifts or major national headwinds altering the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp change in turnout dynamics could still alter outcomes before the November 3, 2026, election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$29,618 Vol.
$29,618 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
95%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$29,618 Vol.
$29,618 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$15,199 Vol.
95%
Don Tracy (R)
$14,419 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide margins favoring the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open U.S. Senate race. As lieutenant governor since 2019 and the Democratic primary winner in March 2026 with support from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton holds significant name recognition and institutional backing against Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. Forecasts rate the seat Solid Democratic with projected margins near 20 points, aligning with the absence of general-election polling shifts or major national headwinds altering the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp change in turnout dynamics could still alter outcomes before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$29,618Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide margins favoring the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open U.S. Senate race. As lieutenant governor since 2019 and the Democratic primary winner in March 2026 with support from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton holds significant name recognition and institutional backing against Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. Forecasts rate the seat Solid Democratic with projected margins near 20 points, aligning with the absence of general-election polling shifts or major national headwinds altering the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp change in turnout dynamics could still alter outcomes before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,618Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide margins favoring the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the open U.S. Senate race. As lieutenant governor since 2019 and the Democratic primary winner in March 2026 with support from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton holds significant name recognition and institutional backing against Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. Forecasts rate the seat Solid Democratic with projected margins near 20 points, aligning with the absence of general-election polling shifts or major national headwinds altering the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp change in turnout dynamics could still alter outcomes before the November 3, 2026, election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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